Sunday, May 3, 2009

A mire of despair

It seems every year there's one great escape story, or at the very least, an attempt at one. Last year was Fulham's great escape, however, this year there seem to be no surprises. The bottom five teams are absolutely dreadful, and I don't expect any of them to go on a run to safety. Hull and Sunderland have points on Boro, Toon and WBA, and that's all they'll need. Toon and Boro are stuck on 31, and if they end up with 33, that'll be great for them. All five of these teams simply suck. Newcastle and Boro play next week, and if a team wins that, they'll have a chance, as none of these teams face each other outside of that one match. If Boro and Toon tie, they'll both go down. I'd vote to have all five go down this year; none of them have any fight in them. I think there should be a new rule: 38 point threshold. If you don't average a point a game, you don't deserve to stay in the premier league. Rovers will (hopefully) get a point out of their next three matches, meaning that this would send these five awful teams down. You won't have a repeat of 2002 when West Ham went down with 42 points, and then bounced straight back up because they were too good for the Championship. I won't shed any tears of more yo-yo clubs being denied a year in the Premier League.
Lets look at the teams currently bouncing back up this year:
Wolves I think Wolves will get up and stay up. They're a big club, a quality side and the irony of Mick McCarthy taking the place for (hopefully) Roy Keane's former club in Sunderland will be great.
Birmingham CityYo-Yo city. Destined for another 18/19th place finish.
Playoff Winner (Sheffield Burnley Reading Preston) Lets just look at the history of the last playoff winners: Hull City (dreadful after an amazing start, if they stay up next year bet the farm they go Derby the year after), Derby County (the worst Premier League season in history), Watford (20th by a mile, dreadful dreadful season), West Ham United (stayed up, well done), Crystal Palace (18th, down), Wolves (20th, down), Birmingham (stayed up for a few years, before yo-yoing again).
Outside of West Ham, no playoff team in recent memory has avoided either a yo-yo fate or a fate to drop straight down to the Championship for awhile. When I look at these clubs, I can't say I see a different fate for any of them. If Hull stays up, I'm calling right now a bottom 3 of Hull City, Birmingham City and whoever wins the Playoff.

2 comments:

C.Real said...

Dearest Giblinho, your insights are too true. This year's bottom five (Sunderland, Hull, Boro, Newcastle, WBA) would get destroyed by last season's bottom five (Fulham, Bolton, Reading, Birmingham, Derby). Can you imagine a 10 team league of those clubs? I would imagine it would finish something like:

1. Fulham2. Bolton3. Sunderland
4. Reading5. Newcastle
6. Birmingham7. Boro
8. Hull
9. WBA
10. DerbyThat's maybe not as convincing as I want it to be. But you get my point. This is a weak year for the bottom of the table. Shocking.

Hopefully it finishes like so:

16. Sunderland
17. Hull
18. Boro
19. Newcastle
20. WBA

Poeltl said...

Exclusively from the title of this post, I knew it had to be written by Giblinho.

Props dude.