Tuesday, March 31, 2009

How Soccer Has Failed To Establish Itself as One of the Premier Sports in America

A quick note: this is the final paper I wrote for my Freshman writing class on foreign opinion of America. It's about soccer, and I remember Colin one time asked me to read it, and yeah it's mad long, but I figure why not post it if you guys want to check it out. I know I've been flooding the site with entries today, but I'm sick and can't leave my room, and it's a lot better than studying. So yeah, here you go (if you want works cited...just ask for it in a comment). And I added pictures otherwise it's way too much text (still is).

Sports hold a dear place in the hearts of many. They unite cities in collective misery or joy, as the emotions of a town can ride on the successes and failures of their respective teams. Throughout much of the world, the sport that these cherished teams play is soccer. However, in a nation founded by immigrants from all these other nations, soccer remains much more of an alien novelty than a mainstay attraction. Players from the top clubs in Europe, who normally cannot leave their homes without being hounded by fans and paparazzi, could walk the streets of Manhattan with only a handful of spectators realizing who they were looking at. What makes this even more puzzling is that the United States is the definition of a heterogeneous state, with virtually the entire population descending from immigrants in the past four hundred years. Immigrants poured into America at the turn of the 20th century and still come to America as a beacon for liberty, justice and hope. These immigrants bring with them their own cultures, and those cultures often become absorbed into the fabric of American culture. One piece of culture though, one that ironically nearly all these immigrants share, has not entered the American mainstream: a love of organized soccer at the professional level. It is not for a lack of trying, as several failed leagues and failed celebrity gimmicks over the decades have proved to be unsuccessful. The United States is now in a soccer renaissance, where the MLS celebrates its tenth (albeit tenth unprofitable) season and the Men’s National Team is at arguably its strongest point in its entire history. There are several young American players who are considered top prospects globally, and several older players who are considered good players in the top leagues in the world. Despite this advent of soccer popularity, most Americans are extremely naïve of the sport on any scale, call it a different name from the rest of the world and generally feel it is a game for children to play before they get ready for the real American sports of American football, baseball and basketball. This is, as Andrei Markovits puts it, another form of “American Exceptionalism” (Markovits 2). Due to its location, wealth, pervasive culture and unique status as effectively a state entirely formed by immigrants or the descendants of relatively recent immigrants, the United States will always be set apart from the world in many ways. But in the case of something like soccer, this is not so much an inevitable division but merely a desired one. Americans want their own sports to export to other nations, rather than have to compete with the rest of the world at the world’s game. The United States only cares about sports it can dominate, not just win and compete in, but a sport over which they can wield unmatched ability. With soccer, America would definitely emerge as a supreme world power if it was to become the country’s first sport, but America would be by no means the lone superpower it is on the actual global scene. The United States’ distaste for soccer stems from an innate American dislike for foreign imports and a desire to dominate at a complete level. This is why soccer never took off the ground in the nineteenth century when organized sports were gaining in popularity. Xenophobic American nativists pushed everything to the side of the “American” game of baseball (Markovits 25). The United States will not ever fully embrace a sport that they neither invented nor dominate at, and despite soccer’s growing popularity, it will not reach the same heights as American football, baseball or basketball for many decades, if ever.

Soccer isn’t as foreign to America as many of its detractors would like to believe. The first US soccer team was actually founded before the sports of American football or basketball were even invented. In 1861, the Boston Oneidas became the first professional soccer team in America. Before the distinguished Ivy League started playing each other in football games, there were soccer matches between them. The first official soccer match was between Princeton and Rutgers, and it took place in 1869, before the development of American football and twenty-two years before the invention of basketball (National Soccer Hall of Fame). These weren’t insignificant games, as the Boston Oneidas are commemorated in Boston Commons by having their own plaque and the original sporting competitions between colleges were soccer matches, not football. The first American professional soccer league, the American Soccer League (ASL), was founded in 1921, right at the same time as the first professional football league and the first professional basketball leagues (National Soccer Hall of Fame). This is in direct opposition to one of the many theories on why soccer hasn’t become popular in America, the theory that soccer came into the American sports lexicon too late, after football, baseball and basketball had dominated the landscape. Soccer had its roots in American sports culture before the games of football and basketball had even been invented, and it was played on a professional level at the same time. Soccer has been an integral part of the American sports landscape for just as long as any other sport and its relative lack of popularity today cannot be blamed on a lack of history.

The United States even enjoyed a small window of time where we were considered a soccer superpower. The first World Cup, the 1930 World Cup in Uruguay, saw the United States not only finish third, but perhaps more shockingly, start the tournament as favorites (National Soccer Hall of Fame). This would be the apex of American soccer might—third is the highest the United States has ever finished in the World Cup—and the United States’ team would leave the 1934 World Cup winless. On the international level, America would have only one major moment between the 1930 World Cup and the 1990 World Cup , and that would be the part they played in what is still considered to this day one of the greatest upsets in soccer history. In the 1950 World Cup, the United States faced England in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. England, only three weeks before, had faced an all-star team comprised of players from all across Europe, and they had beaten them 5-1. The United States, then as far from a superpower as it could be, shocked the world and got their only win of the tournament by beating England 1-0 (National Soccer Hall of Fame). This event entered sports folklore as a triumphant upset, with books and films being made of the event . This would be the last the international world would really hear from the United States for quite some time, as they would not qualify for the World Cup again until 1990, and would not another World Cup game until they hosted the tournament in 1994.

The second half of the twentieth century, while it didn’t have much success for the Men’s National Soccer team, was marked by the creation, merging, and folding of several leagues, as well as the imports of worldwide soccer celebrities, most notably Pele . The North American Soccer League (NASL) was created through the merging of the two new leagues at the time, the National Professional Soccer League (NPSL) and the American Soccer League (ASL), at the request of FIFA (National Soccer Hall of Fame). The NASL quickly expanded to eighteen teams, but they made their big splash when they were able to lure Pele out of retirement in 1975 to play for the New York Cosmos. This led to a slew of international soccer stars coming to play for various clubs in the NASL, though almost all of them came well after their prime as something of a victory lap at the end of an illustrious career. The NASL was not seen as a truly legitimate league , and after Pele retired in 1977, the league began a steady and steep decline until its eventual collapse in 1985. Throughout this time, there was also the Major Indoor Soccer League (MISL), which was founded in 1978. MISL was secondary to the NASL until the NASL began crumbling, and then four of the franchises from NASL were absorbed into MISL in 1984. MISL, after the demise of NASL, was now the top-flight league in the United States, and renamed itself the Major Soccer League or MSL in 1990. However, it would also cease operations in 1992, leaving the United States without a legitimate top league until the first season of Major League Soccer (MLS) was played in 1996(National Soccer Hall of Fame).

The state of soccer today in America is the most encouraging it has been in quite some time. The MLS, despite posting horrific losses during its first few years, is now in a state of expansion and has recently welcomed the most visible soccer star on the planet, David Beckham, to one its keystone franchises, the Los Angeles Galaxy. Furthermore, the United States has qualified in every World Cup since 1990, and shocked the world by progressing to the quarterfinals in the 2002 World Cup with wins over Mexico and Portugal, a team many pundits had predicted could win the entire tournament (Colin 15). The United States has won the last two CONCACAF Gold Cups and three of the last four . The United States Women’s National Team is currently ranked first in the World and has won two of the five Women’s World Cups (FIFA). In terms of individual players, there are dozens of Americans playing in the top leagues all over the world and a few American youngsters, namely Freddy Adu and Jozy Alitdore, are considered some of the top prospects in the world today. Coverage of major soccer events is now shown on major networks, as ESPN now airs full coverage of the UEFA Champions League . There are several channels dedicated to covering the sport, notably Fox Soccer Channel, Setanta Sport and GolTV. Soccer is played by Americans throughout the country, as it is one of the most popular sports for children in elementary school and junior high. By the last estimate, there are over nineteen million children aged six or older playing soccer in America (Andrews 267). Despite the success of American international teams and individual players, as well as the popularity of the game at a youth level, soccer as a spectator sport has struggled to become anything more than a novelty, and despite repeated attempts the United States has had difficulties maintaining a profitable and popular soccer league over a long period of time.

Soccer clearly has had a problem with staying power in America, and Americans realize this as well, and try to account for it nearly to a fault. The Women’s United Soccer Association (WUSA) folded after only three seasons of activity, mostly because its creators did not give the league a chance to succeed. The league was formed in 2001, building off of the success of the United States Women’s National Team’s success at the Women’s World Cup in 1999 (Jones 275). Instead of simply trying to create a league to celebrate soccer in its natural form, the league from the outset struggled to find a way to make the game appealing to Americans. Believing that the past failures proved that soccer in its normal form was unmarketable to a large-scale American audience, the creators of WUSA attempted to “Americanize” it. One WUSA public relations manager explained their idea:

“[It’s] a positive to make it like other [American] sports, because you don’t want to alienate the American fans, make them feel like they’re in another country watching a game. You want to make them feel like they’re home…and comfortable…It’s not the pitch; it’s the field. It’s not nil-nil; it’s zero-zero. [You don’t want to give them the] sense that they don’t know what’s going on. Soccer…has enough to overcome. You don’t want to overcome wording [too]…Look at this English sport, with pitches and nil-nils and (disdainfully) who cares? Give me the facts. It’s a field, it’s a ball, it’s one-nothing…And just make it as American as possible” (Jones 276).

In reference to terminology, this doesn’t seem particularly damaging. However, WUSA would take this ideology to extreme levels, and in their desire to reach fans they thought they could not reach with soccer, they ended up alienating the very fans they should have been courting. WUSA did not even view itself as a pure sporting event, but rather as a family experience. It is one thing to appeal to families, but WUSA viewed its main competitors not as other sporting events, but instead child-oriented restaurants like Chuck E Cheese’s, arcade parlors and amusement parks. Tony DiCicco, who coached the 1999 United States Women’s Soccer Team and later became the WUSA commissioner, even admitted that “We knew our demographic wasn’t going to be able to sit and just watch soccer games for two hours”(Jones 276-277). The atmosphere was seen as infantilizing and suffocating, as there were designated ‘funzones’ which were effectively large playgrounds for children to play in during the game as well as a dizzying array of merchandise giveaways, autograph sessions and loudspeaker noise and music being played throughout the course of the match (Jones 277). The same public relations manager explained this as well:

“To the average fan…zero-zero [means] we didn’t see any goals…Well…if you have the in-game promotions going and ‘Ho, look at that! That’s pretty funny going on up there!’ and you hear some music…in the background and it generates that exciting atmosphere, [then] I think…for the entire fan-base…it’s a better experience. If there was nothing going on, it would be bor-ING!...But if there’s something going on, something for you to tap your feet to, or laugh at, chances are you’re going to come back”(Jones 277).

The biggest flaw in the design of WUSA was the simple fact that they didn’t have enough faith in soccer to carry their league. They effectively were making the fact that it was a soccer league secondary to the fact that it was a place for parents to take their children for a day of family-friendly fun; a loud, buzzing carnival that happens to have a soccer game going on in the midst of it all. Despite the fact that there was a sizeable population of men who attended the matches, league officials figured that boys would eventually tire of watching girls play soccer and that men would only go to matches if dragged by their wives or daughters(Jones 280). This lack of faith doomed the league from its inception, as well as various bouts of mismanagement, and the dream of a professional women’s soccer league in America was not realized at any sort of long-term level.
Soccer had all the opportunities that other sports had in the beginning to succeed and to grab its own piece of the American sports landscape. The aforementioned Boston Oneidas slowly started merging soccer and rugby into a hybrid game called “The Boston Game” (Markovits, 17). Yale became the first Ivy League school to drop soccer as their intercollegiate sport and soccer was slowly overtaken by rugby and eventually American football. Soccer formed its own professional leagues around the same time as other major sports, but they were never able to capture the public imagination like other sports like baseball or American football. Football was the sport of the elite class, which was then transferred down to the growing middle class in America, while baseball had now become the sport of the working and lower classes (Markovits 20). Soccer was not able to plant itself into the identity of one of those socioeconomic classes and that was one of the main downfalls of its popularity in America. Basketball rose in popularity in the latter half of the twentieth century, when it was able to become the game of the urban poor in America, but the only group that soccer has become synonymous with in America are the ubiquitous “soccer moms” who shuffle their children from one game to another. Soccer, in this context, is seen much more of a harmless game in which parents do not have to worry about their children getting hurt, physically or emotionally (Andrews 270).

Baseball had established itself as the premier sport in America in the first half of the twentieth century, and the popularity of the sport “depended on its identity as American” (Markovits 25). The game’s initial supporters were intensely nativist, and combated any claim that baseball was merely a modified version of the British game of Rounders , and baseball was described as “Anti-Cricket.” What helped make baseball so appealing other than the natural American feel was the same reason soccer was so popular abroad: anyone could play it. “Baseball success was part based on the fact that virtually no equipment or special physical attributes were necessary to enjoy or excel at the game” (Markovits 28). Baseball was able to secure the crucial niche of the lower classes, and soccer, given its foreign roots, was never given a chance by that all-important group . The acceptance of baseball, and not of soccer, by the American working classes of the nineteenth century, is why historically baseball has been one of the most popular American sports, while soccer has been merely a footnote.

The future for soccer is as bright as it has ever been in America, and the scores of Latin American immigrants are slowly doing what could never be done before: establish soccer as a premier sport in America. Even though many Latin American immigrants, as well as many Americans and European immigrants, follow soccer in the more established professional leagues abroad , the fact that a growing segment of the American population is not only playing soccer but enjoying soccer as a spectator sport will only increase the sport’s significance. However, there is a cap. If one watches anything from ESPN to Fox News, they will be bombarded by either soccer hatred or ignorance. Jim Rome is one of the most popular sports commentators in America, and frequently goes on rants about all that he dislikes about soccer, from the fans to ties to diving and everything else in between . Rome represents a rather good example of the classic American anti-soccer fan. For a large segment of the American population, soccer will never be given a chance, no matter the strength of the domestic league or the national team. In a poll done by USAToday during the World Cup, the plurality of the votes for why soccer is not popular in America stated that “There is too little scoring” (USAToday). Soccer is mostly misunderstood by large segments of the population, and that is unlikely to change. Competitive cycling was able to build a successful niche in America, mostly capitalizing off the success of Lance Armstrong, but it will never surpass that level, as only 172,869 households tuned in to watch the Tour de France in 2007(MedaPost). This is in a sport that America has flat-out dominated over the course of the past decade, showing that even when America is able to be the best, that is no guarantee of popularity in America itself.
The ideal fate for soccer is hopefully a more successful version of the current state of hockey. Soccer already has better television deals, as soccer games are shown on ESPN, one of the most watched networks while NHL hockey games have been relegated to the relative obscurity of the Versus channel (along with the Tour de France). At best, soccer can achieve the popularity of basketball in America, which has always been a very popular, but at the same time a very distant third, sport in America. This is quite unlikely to happen in the next fifty years to any significant degree, as one thing combating the growth of soccer through immigrant communities is how the descendants of immigrants wish to integrate themselves into American culture and part of that is adopting “American” sports. Soccer was unable to establish itself early on in American history, and the hurdles it now has to overcome just to be considered a player in the American sports lexicon may be too difficult for any sport to overcome, even one with the worldwide appeal of soccer.

Time and time again, the United States has attempted to bring the world’s game to the forefront of American culture, and to remove the stigma of having the richest and third most populous country in the world being little more than an afterthought on such a global stage, and each time this has resulted in failure. Major League Soccer is the one shining beacon of hope, as the league continues to expand to now sixteen franchises with more on the way, but the league could fall prey to other leagues, such as the NHL, that over expanded and severely damaged their fan base. The popularity of soccer is falling prey to something far harder to overcome than initial skepticism towards the game; it is trying to get past a systematic discrimination towards foreign games. The three most popular sports in America, and the fastest-growing one, NASCAR, were all developed in America and America is home to the strongest and most prestigious league in the world in each sport. One aspect of that can never come true, as soccer was invented in England and the history and prestige is impossible for a fledgling league to match, and the amount of money required to make the MLS even in the conversation of wealthy leagues is stagger, as the most valuable franchises in soccer are now valued in the billions. MLS will never match the European leagues in term of history, and it would take several extremely wealthy owners who were able to finance the league through massive financial losses to make the league as high-profile and high-paying as other leagues. Soccer cannot overcome the innate cultural xenophobia that is ingrained in American culture, and the desire of immigrants to fit into the American lifestyle will lead most of them, like generations before, to abandon the world’s game in favor of one of the mainstream American sports. Soccer in America will continue to be relegated to the spot of a novelty item on the news, a sporting event worth mentioning only in the most important or bizarre of circumstances, and barring the relentless pursuit by a select group of high-powered Americans, the sport’s popularity can only climb so high, as it will inevitably hit the glass ceiling of cultural xenophobia and widespread ignorance and indifference.

American Lacktion Report

Look, it's great to watch various leagues all over Europe and see Americans all over the place (the Danes LOVE US), and especially in the past couple of weeks, where you've seen people like Dempsey start getting respect abroad, as he was mentioned in almost every game report of the Manchester United match. When Freidel was sent off against Liverpool, who was there to get his premier league debut (by having to face a Stevie G penalty)? None other than American no.2 Brad Guzan! And lest we forget the impact Tim Howard has had on getting Everton their inevitable fifth spot for the end of the campaign. Go over to the Fatherland, and you'll see Michael Bradley is tearing shit up again! A recent brace is sure to get you accolades, and hopefully he'll start becoming a regular in the squad. Go over to defense, and you'll see our national team tandem of Bocanegra and Onyewu being stalwarts in both the Rennes and Standard Liege defenses in France and Belgium respectively.

However, while that's all well and good, I just listed three goalkeepers, our best offensive player not named Landon Donovan, two defenders and a player who, at the end of the day, was still only scoring goals 4 and 5. Americans still have a lot to deal with abroad, experiencing a type of culture shock other Europeans can't fully relate to, and lest we forget that Americans are derided abroad, and while a player who tore up the Swiss league gets his starts automatically, coming from a sublime season in the MLS means nothing abroad, no matter how much quality that league continues to accumulate. So, lets go over some players who just aren't getting their fair shakes.

Jozy Altidore He is the youngest player who is a regular on the national team, and I think he won't be on this list next year. Villareal, a team with true ambitions, really just didn't have the space to accommodate a young player who needs to develop, and I can't really blame them for loaning him out. What must be driving them mad is how infrequently he plays for Xerez! He has three appearances! Rumors are circulating that he may to transferred to another Segunda outfit, and it's good to see how highly rated he is. As I stated, I feel like this is the type of growing pains that accompanies all but the very best until they can eventually establish themselves on a club.

Freddy Adu I can't say I'm entirely shocked that Freddy Adu is having such trouble establishing himself on Monaco. To be honest, I consider Monaco to be a better team than Benfica, so if he isn't making it onto Benfica, why would he make it onto Monaco? Clearly, they wanted him and took him on loan, but he isn't even dressing for the team consistently, and has one appearance! So I'm not sure what their motive was, considering this is a loan, but if Benfica wants anything out of him in the future, they'll be sure to recall his loan in May.

Sal Zizzo Sal Zizzo has a soft spot for me, considering Colin and I were watching the U20 World Cup in FoxBoro in Naples all summer before Freshman year, and we kept screaming about how sick this kid seemed like he would be. Great pace, great technique and has those type of slicing runs that you love in wingers. Yet, his playing time is minimal at Hannover 96 (and by minimal I mean nonexistant) that he isn't even listed on the SoccerNet squad page! He is just trying to work his way up on reserves, and while he is really young, I think he'd be better served playing for a lower quality outfit to get some regular playing time.

Benny Feilhaber; Michael Parkhurst Two Americans that are starting to finally establish themselves in...Denmark. Look, I'm not trying to deride the league, but is it of that much higher quality than MLS? I'm quite skeptical. Feilhaber was hurt all year and is finally working his way into the club, and Parkhurst is finally get first team action, and it's paying off. I just would rather see these guys try and go for the Coca-Cola than Denmark, as I just think it's a more fruitful road.

Maurice Edu I'm never going to be a fan of Americans playing for Rangers, but if they must, at least can they play?! At the very least, they're letting him dress now, but Maurice is still on only 5 appearances for the year.

Gabriel Ferrari Granted, he's on loan from Serie A side Sampdoria, but if you're in Serie C1, and you have two appearances, uh...that's not good.

Eddie Johnson He recently got his first goal in English action in over a year, but he's on loan in the Championship, and has 7 appearances and 1 goal. Look, I'm always going to support him as a fellow American, but I've never been that high on Johnson. I've always felt that his effectiveness in MLS and CONCACAF qualifiers (except Mexico) came from his natural athleticism and that he wasn't particularly skilled. And to be honest, I feel like his time in England has validated all of this. When his natural athleticism doesn't give him the same advantages it does in America (a much more direct league), he's completely ineffective. He has never shone against quality competition, international or club, and I really just don't think he has the talent to do so. I wish him the best, but that's just how I see it.

A Rafa Rant

Let me preface this brief entry by saying one thing: I love Rafa Benitez. I think he has done wonders for Liverpool and I don't want another manager. However, he is only human, and humans (especially managers) all make mistakes. Rafa already completely bumbled the Robbie Keane fiasco, where he lost several million pounds and let a quality striker languish on the bench. Then again, Fergie had his days with Veron, so like I said, no one is perfect.

Days Both Managers Would Like to Forget


But onto the post at hand, and while I must again preface that I'm not a British tabloid and get sucked in by every transfer rumor I've ever heard, but the noise around Liverpool's possible transfers is becoming deafening. There is the constant calling for David Villa, and now I read today that Samuel Eto'o is a new target.

Look, Villa and Eto'o are great great great players. But lets look at what the Reds really need. I don't think we need another world-class striker. What we need is actually the rarest of players, a Dirk Kuyt type, who is talented but doesn't mind not being the main attraction. Liverpool's ridiculous run of form has to do with the current formation we are playing in, with Torres spearheading and Gerrard as effectively a second striker. I don't really know what else you would want out of this. Torres is brilliant up top alone, and Gerrard is on form like no one else on the planet right now. If you add another striker, who comes off the pitch; our midfield and Torres are outstanding right now and I don't know why you'd want to tinker with that. Our current central midfielders are Gerrard, Mascherano and Xabi Alonso, who I would put against any other central midfield trio in the world and know that they are at least as good. Torres has shown to have nagging hamstring issues, but what if he isn't hurt? Are we going to just let Villa sit on the bench while the Reds go marching on? I love Arbeloa and Riera (and of course Kuyt), but really our problem issues are wingbacks and wingers. I don't think we need help at striker! If we get more wingers, guess who our backup striker is? DIRK KUYT! He's perfect for the situation! He's a very good striker and he has no ego, and will not be pouting on the bench every time he isn't selected. Don't get me wrong; if we do transfer Eto'o or Villa, I will be ecstatic for the possibilities, but in all honesty, it's money that could be much better spent.

Saturday, March 28, 2009

France vs. Lithuania

First and foremost, this game was boring - straight up uneventful. Ribery managed to fire off the wining shot (thankfully), but other than that, the game was filled with lackluster play. France continues to be disappointing, and as the first time I've seen them since Euro 2008, I was not impressed, just as last summer. France really needs to shape up, especially if they want to do some damage in South Africa. If not, they will not get through their group. Wish I could say more, but sangria beckons...

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Relegation, Europa, Champions League, Champions

Poeltl has well-covered the three major games of the weekend, but attention should be paid to the clubs firmly entrenched in the mire. Stoke won a crucial six-pointer against Middlesborough, and as I've thought for quite some time, Stoke appears to have too much fight in them to go down. They can grind out a result against anyone (just ask my Reds how their games against them have gone) and have really been bolstered by their January signings. There were plenty of games that had results in relation to the relegation fight, so I'm going to go through the teams that are in the relegation fight currently (within 5 points of relegation zone):

West Bromwich Albion Outlook: Dire
WBA has been putting up a valiant fight these past weeks, but talent is talent, and they don't have enough. It'll probably surprise many that it's very probable that the only promoted team to go down is West Brom, as many were calling Hull and Stoke two of the worst premiership teams ever before they had even tied up their boots. They absolutely have to win at home against Stoke in two weeks time, and then win at Fratton Park. Those two six-pointers are their only hope to have a hope, and even if everyone above didn't get a point from those two games, they'd still be two from safety. They still have City, Spurs and Liverpool (three of the most resurgent teams in the league right now) on the schedule and barring a miracle beyond Fulham's of last year, it appears the Baggies are going to yo-yo back to drinking Coca-Cola

Middlesbrough Outlook: Grim
Stewart Downing will most likely get his transfer wish this summer, but by way of a relegation release clause (I hope he has one of those) as things are looking increasingly grim for Boro. Liverpool will celebrate, as a guaranteed lost 3-points at their bogey ground in Riverside will disappear in the mist of the championship, but for a club that's enjoyed a decade in the premiership, it'll be a startling realization that Preston, not Chelsea, are coming to visit to battle for top of the league. They're 5 points from safety, with crucial six-pointers against Bolton and Hull upcoming. They have struggled the most it seems against their fellow relegation fodder, and that's a very poor omen for a team that needs to claw its way back to safety, and after their two six-pointers, they have 6 final games, five of which are against top-half teams (Manchester United, Arsenal, Fulham, West Ham, Aston Villa) and it looks like Boro will need to find a gear that haven't all season to save themselves.

Newcastle United Outlook: Dark and Ominous
Newcastle is three points from safety, so are only a victory away, but those victories seem exceedingly difficult to come by for Mike Ashley's men. A very difficult schedule (Anfield, White Hart Lane, Villa Park, and then Fulham, Chelsea at home await) places a steep obstacle for the Magpies. Outside of Fulham at home, it's very difficult to imagine Newcastle picking up a point in any of these fixtures. This places enormous pressure on their three final games against fellow relegation-threatened clubs, against Stoke, Boro and Portsmouth. Going to the Britannia is tough on any day, and they'll struggle to find a point there as well. Newcastle therefore needs to pull an upset, and Michael Owen will have to be the man to provide that spark. He was once a man who could turn matches on their head by himself, and he'll have to start doing that again if Newcastle have any hope of staying up.

Blackburn Rovers Outlook: Cloudy
Rovers are safe for now, but to think they're safe in anyway long-term is naive at best and moronic at worst. With a formidable schedule (Anfield, Stamford, Britannia, City of Manchester Stadium, as well as home matches against Wigan and Spurs) and only two points separating them and Newcastle, it seems like it could be a battle to the death of these two drastically underperforming teams. Blackburn has some talent, and enough to hopefully stay up, but their tough schedule could open the door for Newcastle (maybe Boro if they're extremely frisky at the end). This is the same team that showed a lot of grit by playing with Manchester United this past month, and don't seem to get blown out often, but instead drop a lot of close points. If they can convert that into some points, they should not have a problem staying up.

Stoke City Outlook: Home-Cookin'
Stoke has an advantage none of their relegation counterparts can boast: a formidable home-field advantage. With an 8-4-3 record at home, they can boast a better home record than Villa or Everton, and have dropped only two more points than Arsenal or Chelsea at home. However, this has a clear flip-side for a relegation-threatened club. They have yet to win on the road this season and have picked up just 4 points in 15 away matches this season. If they can reverse that at The Hawthorns this weekend, they're all but assured of safety in my book, as they two winnable home games immediately following against Rovers and Newcastle. Two more home games against the clearly-not-invincible West Ham and Wigan should mean around 8 points for the Potters, and a team that has shown so much grit will stay up (mostly thanks to the golden guns of Rory Delap). Stoke is proving, just like Fulham, that formidable home form is the surest way to staying in the premiership

Portsmouth Outlook: Partly Cloudy
Portsmouth are 3 points clear with a game in hand, and Peter Crouch is finding his form at the right time. A huge win over Everton has proven that this team can beat almost anybody outside the top 4, and Portsmouth has 7 more matches against those teams. A rather talented team to be so far down (they did have 57 points last season and finish 8th, not to mention win the FA cup), they should have enough talent to get through, and their schedule is clearly an advantage.

Sunderland Outlook: Certainly Not Safe
Sunderland has been on quite the wild ride this season, with Spragia filling in the for the abruptly departed Roy Keane, and like their Hull City and Bolton counterparts, are a couple good wins out of the mire. However, these are the types of teams that can lose form and lose their way into the bottom 3 (remember Sheffield United a couple years back?). Roy Keane built a talented enough squad, and between Cisee and Diouf, they should have enough douchebag talent to stay afloat. However, they've been rocky this year, and anything can happen this time of year. A couple wins saves them, but until then, hold onto your hats.

Hull City Outlook: Why Are You Here?
What was once such a great story is now such a sad one. With trips to Old Trafford and Villa Park remaining, as well as a visit from the Reds, the tigers have to get a few quality wins to make sure their great start doesn't turn into one of the greatest collapses ever witnessed in English soccer. This was a team that tied for the top of the league back in October, and now is finding itself only 4 points above the drop. Hopefully Phil Brown can garner some results of his side, but after only one win since the 6th of December, he can't feel confident of his side's ability to stay up. It seems unthinkable that they're here today, and considering they've had the worst run of form between themselves and the teams below them (maybe WBA oustanding), it is very feasible for them to lose themselves back into the Championship. Yet again, a couple wins and they're safe, but those wins get harder and harder as the season goes, as Hull City's amazing collapse has already shown.

Bolton Wanderers Outlook: Probably safe
Bolton has really only one win or two between themselves and another year in the Premiership. Davies is tearing it up, and he should have enough goals in him to win another two. I'm pretty confident they're staying up, nothing else to say.

Prediction for Relegation
West Bromwich Albion
Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers

Now to the teams on the other side of the table, with the top three teams decided (though not in order) and the next three also selected (also order not chosen). Championship battle:
I can't help but thrilled but Manchester United giving Liverpool a sliver of hope for the title race. No one is on better form than Liverpool right now, and if they can continue this through the rest of the year, they could easily win out their final 8 games. Manchester United in that situation would only need a loss and a draw, and while this would seem like a terribly tall order for Manchester United, they do seem to not be coping well with the Quintuple pressure. I think it's safe to say Chelsea has scuffed their chance, with 4 points back and a game in hand. I can't really see Chelsea winning it over Liverpool, though the Reds have to go to Fergie's new House of Horrors in the form of Craven Cottage next match. It's interesting to see how Manchester United will handle the pressure, as Liverpool is finally hitting top-form, but will it be too late?

Prediction
1. Liverpool
2. Manchester United
3. Chelsea

The Chase for the Champions League
Aston Villa held the pole position for quite some time, but have scuffed with a horrendous run of form that has seen then slip from a probable bet for Champions League, to battling to keep fifth from a resurgent Everton. Everton and Villa both have hope for the fourth spot, as Arsenal still have a game against each of the top 4 remaining, as well as a match against Manchester City. Losses in those matches would be sufficient for Everton to even snatch the fourth spot. However, Arsenal is also in great form, and Arshavin has really found his groove in the English game. Arsenal will not relinquish fourth, and merely curse themselves for letting it slip out of their grasp for so long. If Villa can't right the ship, they'll have to kiss goodbye to fifth as well, and as football is all about momentum, I think they'll have to.

Prediction
4. Arsenal
5. Everton
6. Aston Villa

The Battle for the Last Europa Spot
The semi-finals of the FA cup is inhabited entirely by top 6 clubs, and seeing as Everton will not relinquish their 7 point lead on 7th, it's safe to say that 7th will also be a ticket into Europe this year. This leaves the rest of the teams left in the Premiership battling for it (Wigan, West Ham, Fulham, City, Spurs) in a bizarre season where everyone still has something to play for. I'll start ruling clubs out now. I love Fulham to death, but with two top 4 matches to go, and an unenviable road record, I don't think Fulham has the impetus or the ability to fully take 7th out of the grasp of the other 4 clubs. So, this leaves an intriguing four. Despite being tied on goal differential, I'm going to also rule out West Ham based off of a tough remaining schedule and the fact that I don't see as having enough to quality to battle the other three. This leaves three talented teams, one consistent, one wildly inconsistent, and one surging up the table. I think City is too inconsistent to take it this year, and thus killing their ability to sign players for another year. Tottenham still has many tough matches, and as much as it kills me, I have to say, I don't see Tottenham catching the ever-crafty Wigan Athletic. Wigan will squeak some more quality wins, and we'll look at the following:

Prediction

7. Wigan Athletic
8. Tottenham Hotspur
9. Manchester City
10. West Ham United
11. Fulham

Therefore for my full table projection
1. Liverpool
2. Manchester United
3. Chelsea
4. Arsenal
5. Everton
6. Aston Villa
7. Wigan Athletic
8. Tottenham Hotspur
9. Manchester City
10. West Ham United
11. Fulham
12. Bolton Wanderers
13. Portsmouth
14. Sunderland
15. Stoke City
16. Newcastle United
17. Hull City
18. Blackburn Rovers
19. Middlesbrough
20. West Bromwich Albion

I Forgot to Mention...

Yes, how silly of me...Fulham haven't beaten Manchester United at home in 45 years. I believe this result CLEARLY comes as most surprising and most significant, even if I want to claim that for my Spurs. No contest.

Also, Rooney is such a punk. I'm sorry, I don't care how good he is, I would not have him on my squad. He is too volatile, and has more red cards than any forward should ever have - let alone how few of those are actually from rough play, and that they indeed come mostly from dissent. That's what you get putting a boxer on the pitch I guess.

The Fulham PK was sick nasty. However, the self-set bicycle kick to seal the deal was just disgusting. I mean come on...who do you think you are, Ronaldinho a couple years ago?

Wish I had seen the game, but the extensive hilights
http://www.101greatgoals.com/videodisplay/2250026/
do a very good job of capturing the game. WOW.

A Great Weekend for Football

So I know the weekend has yet to end (even longer back in the States), but I felt compelled to list a couple fixtures.

Fulham 2 - 0 Manchester United
Tottenham 1 - 0 Chelsea
Liverpool 5 - 0 Aston Villa

I'm really not sure which is most interesting, or which result seems least likely.

I'm most excited about the Spurs victory, and about the fact that they tied Chelsea in their last meeting, demonstrating once again that Tottenham can run with the big dogs.

Fulham beating MUFC 2 - 0 is simply stunning. Not only does Fulham still have a soft spot in my heart, even if they've shipped out most of their American talent, but they also, lets face it, are inferior in pretty much every way when compared to Man U. The scoreboard cannot lie, and 3 points taste even sweeter when mixed with a side of defeated United.

With Liverpool being the only top three team this weekend to squeeze out a win, and consequently 3 points, the top of the table keeps getting tighter - especially when you consider Man U did not win last week either, when Liverpool crushed them 4 -1.

Speaking of Liverpool crushing teams, FIVE - zero! Good old Steevie G cranked out a crowd-pleasing hat trick off of two penalty kicks and a set piece, all executed perfectly. Alberto Riera's goal in the 33rd minute was just sick, as was Kuyt's opener in the 8th. As my number 2 team, Liverpool pleased this weekend and last, to say the least.

All in all, this was one entertaining weekend of football, which I enjoyed thoroughly.

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Cobrastrike? COBRASTRIKE?!

So I'm not sure who saw the PSG - Marseille game tonight (I know Kyle did, as he was sitting next to me) but WTF?! The first 45 was awesome - solid tackles, lots of emotion from both sides, and a crowd-pleasing even 1-1 at the break. The Marseille goal celebration entailed ZENDEN of all people mounting a (apparently) fragile box, and then fell into it. Then PSG answered with a pretty sick fast break. So far, so good. However, after Makelele got his second yellow and was subsequently removed from the field, Marseille managed the unthinkable - the COBRA! Kyle and I couldn't believe it, and could not stop screaming COBRASTRIKE?!, with the proper interrobang inflection. The rest was history, as OM managed to pinch off another, just to really crap on the hearts of PSG fans. Another great time at Corcoran's Irish Pub in Bastille, Paris - too bad the home team lost.

However, we can all agree that the real thrillers of the match came not from the Parisians, but from fricken clumsy, firm assed ZENDEN and monsieur Cobrastrike.